March 8, 2014
Blinds: 100 ante 300/600
Hero Stack 20,000 (33bb)
Villain 24,000 (40bb)
The action folds to us and we open KQ from the cutoff to 1300
The button 3bets us to 2800. This player has been very active and previously 3 bet and folded to my 4bet showing me 72. Overall he was playing solid and had a strong table presence. Our hand is too strong to fold to small 3bet. I did not want to 4bet fold this hand either so we decide to flat.
The flop comes T52
Total Pot: 7100
This is pretty dry flop and we are thinking that the villain is going to cbet here close to 100% of the time. We check and the villain bets 2800. Is it better to call or check raise here?
We decided to check raise to 8000 with the intention of getting it in. I believe our hand has to much equity for us to fold against his range. The range of hands I put him on is AA-22,AKs-A5s,KQs-KTs,QJs-Q8s, JT-J7s, T9s, 98s, 87s, 76s, AQo-A9o, KQo-KTo, QJo-QTo, JTo-J9o.
The villain ended up moving all in and we called.
Any feedback on this hand is much appreciated. Thanks
Almo makes a good point of how to get extra value out of his bluffs – the way played is fine as I think you’ve got good equity against his range but you’ll likely end up flipping a lot against the hands that he decides to go with.
Thinking about how to make sure you’ve got a reasonably balanced range I think having hands like this in your turn check-raise arsenal makes you much harder to play against – otherwise you end up with a very nutted check-raise range on the turn.
Either way, the way you played it doesn’t seem like a mistake, but perhaps you leave some value on the table from his bluffs, especially as the way you range him should make these a significant part of his range.
TPE Pro
December 6, 2012
I’m skeptical that V is three-betting as wide as you say, but if he really is, then I’d just stick it in pre. I agree you shouldn’t four-bet-fold but I don’t see why that’s even on the table, I don’t think you’re deep enough to have a four-bet-fold range.
If you call flop, you only have about a pot-sized bet behind. I don’t see where people are getting the idea that you can check-shove the turn with fold equity. Just check-shove the flop. I suppose raising to 8K is fine if you think it will cause him to spazz, but I can’t see how you could ever raise to 8K and fold to a shove with any hand.
Basically it feels to me like you don’t really have a clear idea of the SPR either while playing the hand or while analyzing it now.
March 8, 2014
almofadinhas said
Check raising the flop will make V to fold all his bluffs, if we call and hit we can check call or check shove turn, assuming V will bet turn off course; or lead all in on the turn if we don´t hit, is that realizing the equity?
Now I am thinking to check call any turn, using that range that OP give us for this V, I will make more detailed analisis tomorrow.
@OP, what is the percentage do you think this V is going to bet turn IP? He is barreling bluff with all his air?
I think the villain will bet the turn at a high frequency. I would say that this specific opponent would be betting the turn around 60 -70% of the time. I think he will be value betting all this over pairs, flush draws, top pair and bluffing with Ax, Kx, Qx etc…
March 8, 2014
Foucault said
I’m skeptical that V is three-betting as wide as you say, but if he really is, then I’d just stick it in pre. I agree you shouldn’t four-bet-fold but I don’t see why that’s even on the table, I don’t think you’re deep enough to have a four-bet-fold range.If you call flop, you only have about a pot-sized bet behind. I don’t see where people are getting the idea that you can check-shove the turn with fold equity. Just check-shove the flop. I suppose raising to 8K is fine if you think it will cause him to spazz, but I can’t see how you could ever raise to 8K and fold to a shove with any hand.
Basically it feels to me like you don’t really have a clear idea of the SPR either while playing the hand or while analyzing it now.
Thank you for your reply.
After thinking it over I think you’re right… my initial range for the villain is too wide. Typically when thinking about our villains 3bet range is it better to assign a wide or narrow range? What are some basics to keep in mind in regards to SPR?
TPE Pro
August 25, 2012
A lot of good analysis being done already, but one extra point – try not to categorize flops as ‘wet’ or ‘dry’. They’re simplistic definitions that don’t capture the essence of what we need to know about a flop.
On the one hand, you could call this flop ‘dry’ because it doesn’t hit anyone’s range that hard, but on the other hand, there’s a straight draw and a flush draw out there, so it’s clearly a different type of flop to a ‘dry’ K-9-3 rainbow. Sometimes we use ‘dry’ to mean ‘doesn’t hit people’s ranges’, and sometimes we use it to mean ‘no draws’ – it’s too vague.
Use ‘static’ and ‘dynamic’ instead. This flop is pretty dynamic – there’s a good chance that the equities of the two ranges will change on the turn, if a flush card or an overcard comes – but not in the extreme. It’s somewhere between dynamic and neutral in nature.
You can add another element to that if you want – ‘strong’ or ‘weak’. This refers to how well the board hits players’ ranges. This is more like a weak-neutral flop – there are some draws, but it doesn’t hit any one player’s range particularly hard. A 6-5-2 with a flush draw would be a weak-dynamic, and a T-9-6 with a flush draw might be a neutral-dynamic.
These two pairs of descriptors are usually much more useful. I got them from Will Tipton’s books on HUNL – high-level stuff, but worth a read.
July 12, 2013
How wide he’s 3b you may know better than us. But I would just take note of the range you constructed. I’m curious why J7s is in his range but not Q7s? Or Q9s is in his range and not K9s? J9o is in his range but not 109o. And why A2-A4s wouldn’t be in his range when some of these other way weak hands are… Anyways… Just something to think about when you do analysis.
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