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When I raise AK with around 30BBs I have every intention of going all the way with it. However, in this spot a loose passive player flats a 12BB 3b and I wondered whether getting AK in here was actually correct. I tried to stove both players ranges against my AK and found this:
SB (66+,ATs+,KQs,AJo+) 33.53%
BB (88+,ATs,AJo) 34.05%
Us (AKo) 32.42%
Which would make this a fold since if we take BB having effectively shoved his hand we need 40% equity. Does anyone ever fold here?
Absolute Poker No Limit Hold'em Tournament – t50/t100 Blinds – 6 players
TournamentPokerEdge.com Hand History Converter
BB: t7085 70.85 BBs
UTG: t2136 21.36 BBs
MP: t2665 26.65 BBs
Hero (CO): t3189 31.89 BBs
BTN: t1305 13.05 BBs
SB: t1230 12.30 BBs
Pre Flop: (t150) Hero is CO with A
K
2 folds2 folds, Hero raises to t250, 1 foldfold foldff , SB raises to t1230,BB calls t1230, Hero???
TPE Pro
TPE Management
July 20, 2010
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to the house glgl
ttwist, could you elaborate on why you go to the house here, please?
July 3, 2010
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Do you think the range for the loose passive flatter should be wider than this?
The SB's range should probably be a bit wider, too.
June 25, 2010
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you don't need 40% equity for this to be a plus EV reshove. You only need like 30% in the 3-way pot, and in the heads up side pot you have enough as well.
(88+,ATs,AJo)-46.737%
(AKo)-53.263%
Seems like you took the right steps, but I dunno why you assume you need 40% equity 3-way to make a shove profitable. 33.3% equity will breakeven with no blinds, antes, or previous money of yours in the pot. You shipped 250 in, plus the 150 for blinds, making this a clear re shove if you assume those ranges are correct (they seem a little tight but thats a different topic)
I assumed that BB is likely to call us if we jam 100% of the time so worked out that my initial raise + SB's shove + BB's jam = 5649 and it costs u 2939 to make the call, so looks like my maths was way off – it was quite late! Groan… So we need 34% equity vs both players. For the main pot we need 26.6% and for the side pot we need 50% equity, which we do against that range. Not sure what went wrong with my Maths, but I can now see that mathematically this is a reshove. Thanks for the feedback.
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