I think the 3-barrel is likely to be pretty good here, so no major complaints. As far as sizing goes, I really can’t tell how big you made it in comparison to the pot, so I’m afraid I’ll have to delay input on that.

StrugLife specifically asked me to comment on his thought process here, so I will. I think the first part about the flop is accurate, about adapting sizing according to the number of bluffs in our range, but I disagree that this is a good flop to be cbetting on as a bluff very often. With KJhh or 98dd or AcTh here, or something equivalent, I’m just giving up. I think 70% of pot or more is an excessively large cbet for this reason. Monochrome flops are not great flops to cbet with a wide range, and Queen high ones aren’t as good as Ace or King high ones either. I would bet about 55-60% of pot on the flop.

Conversely, I’m also not a fan of going for a very small bet on the turn. If you bet 35% of pot here, you can virtually guarantee that the villain is folding exactly none of his range, since the Queen is a card that doesn’t really change the board at all. While there aren’t many bluffs in your range, there are still some of them, and you want to bet big enough to at least put pressure on a hand like 87dd or 6s6d to the point where they would be concerned about a river bet. I would bet between 50% and 65% of pot, depending on how passive the villain is in general – the more passive, the bigger we can bet with our whole range, since we need to apply extra pressure to get folds with our bluffs, and we can get more value with our nuts.

I would like to know where you got “if he has a small double barrel he will have a queen approximately 60% of the time” from, to be honest. I’m not saying it’s necessarily wrong, I would just like to know where you got the figure. Because if he only has a Queen 60% of the time going into the river, betting around half pot as a bluff is a great play, since it only needs to work 33% of the time in order to profit, and if he’s folding the other 40% of his range that’s not a Queen, we’re all good on that front. In actuality, I suspect he has a Queen far less than 60% of the time when he check-calls the turn, since he might raise with his stronger Queens sometimes and he’s not folding his weaker hands to a smaller turn bet either. This makes the river bluff more profitable. I actually think betting small on turn and then giving up is significantly -EV here, since villain has quite a few hands in his range that will specifically check-call a small turn bet and then fold almost all rivers. The smaller you bet on the turn, the more inclined you should be to bet river.

The one other thing I would mention about this hand is that I really dislike minraising at 250bb deep here. Everyone has their own theories about preflop raising, but personally I prefer raising bigger at deeper stack depths, especially in the early stages when the very worst players in the tournament are still around and can give you more of their chips. 3xing here is fine, 4xing is probably okay too, and even 5xing might not be the worst. It’s a $2 tourney, so you’ll get value from bad players who aren’t paying attention.