Villain is 27/27 over 15 hands. I really cant put any strong hands in his shoving range on that flop, but is 22 really good enough to call here?
Full Tilt Poker Super Stack $10K Guarantee No Limit Hold'em Tournament – t50/t100 Blinds – 9 players
TournamentPokerEdge.com Hand History Converter
BB: t3530 35.30 BBs
UTG: t5770 57.70 BBs
Hero (UTG+1): t6330 63.30 BBs
UTG+2: t5715 57.15 BBs
MP1: t4900 49 BBs
MP2: t2465 24.65 BBs
CO: t7160 71.60 BBs
BTN: t4250 42.50 BBs
SB: t8880 88.80 BBs
Pre Flop: (t150) Hero is UTG+1 with 2 2
1 fold, Hero raises to t250, 4 folds, BTN raises to t500, 2 folds, Hero calls t250
Flop: (t1150) 5 3 4 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets t3750 all in, Hero???
July 3, 2010
Based on the 3bet on the flop the best you can hope for in this case it to be looking at a broadway combo (AK, AQ, KQs someting of that order) and racing. I think once he jams i am out of there. No sense calling off with this, I don't think 3-4-5 hits his range all that well (at best I think he may have a gutshot, but it is pretty thin with you holding 22) but he seems not to care and pre-flop he didn't seem to care what we were raising with either which scares me. Get out, move on, try again.
you have 10 outs twice to a made overpair which is what i think your up against so with villain being committed this is -ev call. Ive also been mucking preflop at this point of a tourney when im faced wtih reraise cause not getting paid off enough when i hit a set and playing post flop with 22 is a nightmare.
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