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(0 votes) 
December 30, 2015
Offline
No Limit Holdem Tournament PokerStars
9 Players
$2.00+$0.20
Blinds 250/500 9
UTG andynat66 17,862
UTG+1 fluffy82 32,262
MP1 Just1Answer 10,998
MP2 AnGeLimbA 10,358
MP3 watso 16 41,200
CO maaurom 55,328
D artmartin 25,345
SB Hero 62,958
BB papa_af 16,368
9 1,290 Hero is SB Q 3
3 folds, AnGeLimbA raises to 1,000, 1 fold, maaurom calls 1,000, 1 fold, Hero calls 750, papa_af calls 500
4 4,540 A 5 9
Hero checks, papa_af checks, AnGeLimbA bets 2,270, 1 fold, Hero calls 2,270, papa_af folds
2 9,080 4
Hero checks, AnGeLimbA goes all-in 7,028, Hero calls 7,028
2 23,136, 1 all-in 9
Hero shows a pair of Nines Q 3
AnGeLimbA shows two pair, Aces and Nines 8 A
AnGeLimbA wins 23,136 (net +12,778)
maaurom lost 1,060
Hero lost 10,358
papa_af lost 1,060
Hi,
I’m posting this because I feel like my turn call was a mistake. What do you think?
Entering the hand was already pretty loose for me, but there was very little 3-betting and I expected my call would bring the BB along getting me almost 4:1 at a cost of just 1.5BB? I decided to continue more aggressively when I saw the A was on the board as I figured the chances of a higher flush was greatly reduced. I included the flush ranges below but if I tried removing them and I only gain about 4% equity.
I think I was getting the right price based on the Equity simulation below. It just felt really loose to me and I’m trying to leak less chips overall, especially when really deep.
Board: Ad 5d 9h 4h
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 41.003% 40.87% 00.13% 2176 7.00 { Qd3d }
Hand 1: 58.997% 58.87% 00.13% 3134 7.00 { 99, 55-44, A9s, A5s-A4s, KJs-K2s, J8s+, T7s+, 97s+, 86s+, 75s+, 65s, 32s, A9o, A5o-A4o }
Cheers,
December 30, 2015
Offline
P.S. I had 12 outs: 9x
+ 2
+ 2
+ 2 
= ~26% right? Why does the sim show 41% equity? I clearly still don’t understand what I’m running there.
TPE Pro
December 6, 2012
Offline
Definitely a fold pre-flop. OK, you’re getting 4:1, but you’re also contesting the pot against three other people. That’s not the same as 4:1 in a heads up pot. It’s actually better for you if the BB folds – you’d rather have 3.5:1 in a three-way pot. Plus, you’re out of position, which will make it harder to realize the equity you do have. Great example here: even though you have a good chance of making the best hand by the river, you have to either fold that equity or put a lot of money in bad in order to realize that chance.
The problem with your equity calc, as best I can tell, is that when you put J8s+, that is including Js 8s and Jc 8c, not just flush draws, for your opponent. If you’re going to call a turn shove anyway (and you shouldn’t), then you might as well shove yourself. Much better for you if you can cause him to fold middle pair instead of giving him a chance to shove with it.
But mostly, just fold pre-flop.
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