September 14, 2014
#Game No : 539484114
***** 888poker Hand History for Game 539484114 *****
$6,000/$12,000 Blinds No Limit Holdem – ***
Tournament #72585804 Free 10 Max (Real Money)
Seat 1 is the button
Total number of players : 5
Seat 1: Thehuss1999 ( $227,019 )
Seat 3: mvlasiuk ( $239,885 )
Seat 4: london_ace ( $252,908 )
Seat 5: szkam12 ( $1,616,626 )
Seat 7: Dalas106 ( $668,562 )
Thehuss1999 posts ante [$1,500]
mvlasiuk posts ante [$1,500]
szkam12 posts ante [$1,500]
london_ace posts ante [$1,500]
Dalas106 posts ante [$1,500]
mvlasiuk posts small blind [$6,000]
london_ace posts big blind [$12,000]
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to london_ace [ 6, 4 ]
szkam12 calls [$12,000]
Dalas106 folds
Thehuss1999 folds
mvlasiuk calls [$6,000]
london_ace checks
** Dealing flop ** [ 3, 2, 5 ] $43,500
mvlasiuk checks
london_ace checks
szkam12 bets [$12,000]
mvlasiuk folds
london_ace raises [$48,000]
szkam12 calls [$36,000]
** Dealing turn ** [ T ] $139,500
london_ace checks
szkam12 checks
** Dealing river ** [ J] $139,500
london_ace checks
szkam12 bets [$104,625]
london_ace ???
hey
reads – V is a fish, This is the same opponent in my previous H/H which i posted which was the A6o hand.
Such a gross spot to be in , i mean v could easily have flushes in their range even when they’ve checked back turn , i cant discount it but at the same time they could be bluffing with 5x otr? though if they were going to bluff it would of been very likely they would have done it on the turn.
I’m not sure if you have noticed but in my previous H/H they bet 1/2 pot otr , but in this hand they made it bigger like 2/3 of the pot , could that be a sizing tell? so basically when they bet 1/2 pot its with their weak hands and with their bigger sizing its with their stronger hands?
anyhow , do you call here or fold?
cheers
TPE Pro
August 25, 2012
I think you’re over-complicating things. Villain’s calling range versus the flop raise includes almost no hands that don’t have a high diamond in them, especially given that their button limping range includes very few 5x hands. They also don’t have many sets or 2pair combos that could be betting for thin value on river since they would likely get those in on flop, and it’s a weird board for someone to have 2pair. You also have blockers to the kinds of hands villain might consider weak enough on the river to turn into a bluff.
On the turn, it’s likely villain could have checked back a hand like AxJd or KdQx, in the knowledge that your range contains a lot of hands that were strong on the flop but are now scared of the flush card. They could also have checked back the Ad for the same reason.
Ultimately, on the river you have a bluff-catcher. While it’s tough to see villain having that many value hands, the Jd/Qd/Kd are all possible candidates since your range is so capped, and there are very few bluffs in there. I think it’s a reasonably comfortable fold, and you don’t have to worry too much about having enough calling hands here since you have (comparatively) a lot of combos of flopped J high and Q high flushes (maybe even some King high ones or slowplayed nut flushes) that will be okay calling river in a spot where villain could even be valuebetting Jd.
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