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$12 180 turbo
SFpwnt
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April 30, 2010 - 3:35 pm
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blinds just went up.  sitting 3/27

too nitty to fold?

 

PokerStars Game #43409896202: Tournament #268108701, $11+$1 USD Hold’em No Limit – Level XII (500/1000) – 2010/04/30 15:32:49 ET
Table ‘268108701 2’ 9-max Seat #9 is the button
Seat 1: vulva driver (1144 in chips)
Seat 2: SqeezePlay64 (11687 in chips)
Seat 3: b00k0fMud0ra (4081 in chips)
Seat 4: danveen (5365 in chips)
Seat 5: mathemaat (10045 in chips)
Seat 6: Ventilatorrr (5255 in chips)
Seat 7: SFpwnt (15588 in chips)
Seat 8: blechou (11820 in chips)
Seat 9: ironman250 (10495 in chips)
vulva driver: posts the ante 100
SqeezePlay64: posts the ante 100
b00k0fMud0ra: posts the ante 100
danveen: posts the ante 100
mathemaat: posts the ante 100
Ventilatorrr: posts the ante 100
SFpwnt: posts the ante 100
blechou: posts the ante 100
ironman250: posts the ante 100
vulva driver: posts small blind 500
SqeezePlay64: posts big blind 1000
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to SFpwnt [9d 9h]
b00k0fMud0ra: raises 2981 to 3981 and is all-in
danveen: folds
mathemaat: raises 5964 to 9945 and is all-in
Ventilatorrr: calls 5155 and is all-in
SFpwnt:

Wein
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April 30, 2010 - 4:04 pm
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It originally looked like a clear fold, but after running the numbers I think it’s a shove based on their ranges.  Since the UTG range is so loose, mathemaat’s range can be reeally wide, too.

 

We are getting way over 3:1 here and if we beat one guy(the 2nd shover) we essentially break even on the hand.  The difference between 15bbs (what we have now) and what we’ll have if we win(35bbs) makes this a really interesting spot that I lean towards a shove on.  Here’s the ranges I put them on based on stacks:

 


40,009,620,728 games 77.082 secs 519,052,706 games/sec

Board:

Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied

Hand 0: 19.449% 19.33% 00.12% 7732040496 49999087.00 { 22+, A2s+, K7s+, Q8s+, J8s+, T8s+, 98s, 87s, 76s, 65s, A2o+, K7o+, Q9o+, J9o+ }

Hand 1: 22.370% 21.50% 00.88% 8600268994 350319018.00 { 66+, A5s+, KJs+, QJs, A8o+, KJo+ }

Hand 2: 32.946% 31.99% 00.96% 12797722013 384511634.00 { 88+, AJs+, AQo+ }

Hand 3: 25.235% 24.85% 00.39% 9940402867 156528635.00 { 99 }

 

 


I think if these ranges are right it is fine to get it in…  Let me know if my ranges are off, though.


 

Wein
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April 30, 2010 - 4:11 pm
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just to clarify, these ranges are really hard to put people on. It all depends on if we consider any of these guys regs/tight that have shipped behind us.

dbt
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May 1, 2010 - 12:17 am
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i play these all day and im never folding 99 here these events u really need ft chips inside top 3 or better is the goal and folding 99 here wont get u there , but i do no the lead raiser hes a soild reg but i doubt i fold here ,

SFpwnt
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May 1, 2010 - 2:53 am
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i ended up being a nit and folding.  The players had 44 AKo and QQ…altho i thats obv the very top of their ranges.  I def think i should be getting it in there and chipping up.

 

flop was obv 9,7,7      Frown

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