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Home Forum MTT Poker Strategy 11r 15 bigs , squeeze spot with A5s…

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11r 15 bigs , squeeze spot with A5ss or no?

th1986

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January 11, 2011 - 5:51 pm

Poker Stars $10 No Limit Hold'em Tournament – t300/t600 Blinds + t50 – 9 players

TournamentPokerEdge.com Hand History Converter

kash825 (UTG+1): BB = 17.3, t10362

248976 (UTG+2): BB = 48.3, t28978

darkdog08 (MP1): BB = 5.7, t3400

hammer1105 (MP2): BB = 22.7, t13625

ladygotubea (CO): BB = 30.1, t18065

666DAA (BTN): BB = 27.7, t16601

Hero (SB): BB = 16.6, t9932

XbonezX (BB): BB = 15.6, t9350

Kaliostro_1 (UTG): BB = 14.1, t8439

Pre Flop: (t1350) Hero is SB with 5 of spades A

2 folds, 248976 raises to t1800, 3 folds, 666DAA calls t1800, HERO

the flat is kinda concerning but i have no hands/notes on him , he was just moved to the table. UTG is LAG with 39/24 stats over 42 hands , all post rebuy period. Also hovered over the stats and his EP/MP raise % is higher than LP so i assume he likes to steal UTG. Also he has been making it 3x over the sample so that's not really something that scares me , and if anything makes it more a reason to ship since more $$.

what kinda range should we squeeze here? just value hands or do we have fold equity making a lightish squeeze ok?

kuroshi

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Guests

January 11, 2011 - 6:10 pm

Definitely not without a read on table. New guy at table probably flatted 88-JJ range or AQ if he's competant and just isn't sure how UTG is playing. Although, I could definitely see squeezing AT+ or 77+ maybe even 55 or 66 just incase you get called and your up against 2 overs fora 60/40 but A5s is a fold.

th1986

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Guests

January 11, 2011 - 8:06 pm

cool. i made the shove but felt it was bad before i even got called.

ep opener obv snap folded , and im guessing this is std to shove without flatter in the mix , or no?

what kinda read would we want on flatter to make plays like this? that he's flatting way to much with this stack? a loose/high vpip , but passive preflop type guy/stats?

was pretty tilted when i made the play from getting stuck in sngs a bunch , and was just playing too long trying to chase loses.

kuroshi

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Guests

January 11, 2011 - 8:59 pm

If your running a hud I usually ship A5s there on aggro oppenents with flatters behind that are like 30-40vip and expect them to fold 80% of the time to be effective. If your not using a hud its just off how much you think they are limping but just be careful because your mind plays tricks on you in poker. You might think they are limping a lot but there vip is only 15-20 which is still bad shove.

guitey

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Guests

January 12, 2011 - 5:16 am

With the flatter being new to the table I would fold here. If he had been at the table a while and new the OR was loose then im most likely sticking it in, im reshipping on the OR too if it folded to me

Hagbard Celine

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Guests

January 12, 2011 - 3:20 pm

yeah the flatter is going to make me really tighten my shipping range here. in general, with his stack, i veiw that flat as pretty strong and don't expect him to fold many pairs or better Ax, which i think make up a large portion of his range.

had he not flatted i'd be high-fiving my monitor and re-wagering my stack.

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