Thanks for the post.  His big raise seems like some kind of overpair, possibly 88 or 99 w a gutter. or a higher pair more likely imo.  You are probably beaten, w 10-13 outs (4,9,6,7).  I don't think he is bluffing here with his whole stack, but if you have a read that makes you think that he is bluffing  a lot (you called him a fish), then it might be a decent spot to gamble.  Without that read, I don't think I want to get my whole stack in here, but I think I am on the tight side.  Certainly, if you win, you have a great shot at winning the tourney.  Hopefully one of the pros or someone who is better at explaining the math involved will weigh in on this interesting spot.  mwb

kasspav said:

I would like to know also whether the lead bet is good, or I should have c/r…and yes  it would be interesting to hear one of the pros…

 

My read was an overpair

If your read is an overpair. It is neutral cEV to come allin against him on the flop. You have to pay 153K (43%) to win  352K. And if he is a fish, he is never going to lay down an overpair. (this is before your bet on the flop)

Board: 6d 8h 5c

Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied

Hand 0: 43.081% 42.12% 00.96% 15012 342.00 { 7c6s }

Hand 1: 56.919% 55.96% 00.96% 19944 342.00 { 99+ }

However I dont think you kan only put him on overpairs. If you put a little more in to his range, it is +cEV.

Board: 6d 8h 5c

Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied

Hand 0: 62.666% 61.58% 01.08% 46336 814.00 { 7c6s }

Hand 1: 37.334% 36.25% 01.08% 27276 814.00 { 99+, AJs+, KQs, AQo+ }

As you bet the flop an he raise. You have to pay 135K (38%) and it is now a +cEV spot to push, even if is range only is overpairs. But I not sure that your line is a +$EV.

I would C/C flop and C/F turn if we dont hit.