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Home Forum MTT Poker Strategy $10 FT btn steal line check.

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$10 FT btn steal line check.

dlognittam

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February 16, 2011 - 7:41 pm

This hand was from a couple weeks ago, and I didn't have a HUD at the time. But I played with the sb and bb for the last hour of so of the tourney and I feel like ballpark estimates would be SB is running 9/4. BB is prolly running around 30/8.

Because table has been fairly loose, I'd say this is only the 2nd or 3rd time I'd been able to open from the button and I hadn't been noticeable aggro lately. No postflop history with BB.

How often should we be cbetting this flop? As played, on the turn we're getting good immediate odds to flat, but it feels blah, thoughts on shoving? Also any thoughts on the possibility of successfully bluffing the river as played? I feel like our hand has close to zero showdown value but I'm not sure how much of his range is folding to a river bet b/c our line looks so weak.

Full Tilt Poker Midnight Madness! No Limit Hold'em Tournament – t20000/t40000 Blinds + t5000 – 6 players – View hand 1156006

DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

Hero (BTN): t978405 M = 10.87

SB: t853300 M = 9.48

BB: t1085478 M = 12.06

UTG: t400031 M = 4.44

MP: t461701 M = 5.13

CO: t812585 M = 9.03

Pre Flop: (t90000) Hero is BTN with A heart

3 folds, Hero raises to t80080, SB calls t60080, BB calls t40080

Flop: (t270240) 9 heart

(3 players)

SB checks, BB checks, Hero checks

Turn: (t270240) 6 heart

(3 players)

SB checks, BB bets t120000, Hero calls t120000, SB folds

River: (t510240) 8 diamond

(2 players)

BB checks, Hero requests TIME, Hero checks

bennymacca

Adelaide Australia

Road Gambling with Doyle

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February 16, 2011 - 8:16 pm

steal is fine

on the flop i think checking is ok because you have a decent amount of equity with your backdoor draw and 5 outer.

on the turn, i think calling is ok

river is interesting. what does BB fire turn with and then check river? pretty much all draws got there and all of those would be value betting, so i doubt its that. and i think someone with a T would be leading flop.

the only hands that make sense are monster hands that were trying to check raise the flop, like 9T or even 99, then they bet the turn for value, then the board got real scary. other than that, i cant see any sort of decent hand here, it looks to me like BB has air and was just taking a stab after everyone checked flop, so i would fire this river a bunch of the time.

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savant111

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February 16, 2011 - 9:16 pm

Flop: I cbet 50% pot here 100% of time. I think its a +ev bet considering the table dynamics you mentioned. I'm assuming this is final table so the sb is going to be nitty and fld a ton. the bb has a wide range and I think we can count on him folding at least half the time also considering this your first time going after him.

Turn: I like the call. we have the draw and your 3 can still possibly be good.

River: I wouldn't fire the river here. Our 3 has some showdown value against k or q heart hands the villan (If we think he's 30/8)

ytseshred

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February 17, 2011 - 12:42 pm

bennymacca said:

river is interesting. what does BB fire turn with and then check river? pretty much all draws got there and all of those would be value betting, so i doubt its that. and i think someone with a T would be leading flop.

the only hands that make sense are monster hands that were trying to check raise the flop, like 9T or even 99, then they bet the turn for value, then the board got real scary. other than that, i cant see any sort of decent hand here, it looks to me like BB has air and was just taking a stab after everyone checked flop, so i would fire this river a bunch of the time.

Yea, interesting what he would do this with – maybe K9 w/ the K of hearts as well?