View Plans & Pricing

If you are signed in and are seeing this message, please be sure you have selected a user name in My Profile. The forum requires it.
A A A
Search

— Forum Scope —




— Match —





— Forum Options —





Minimum search word length is 3 characters - maximum search word length is 84 characters

sp_Feed
Topic Rating: 0 Topic Rating: 0 Topic Rating: 0 Topic Rating: 0 Topic Rating: 0 Topic Rating: 0 (0 votes) 
sp_TopicIcon
Poker is a Probabilities Market, and each player is a bookie
The Riceman
London UK
Hitting The Circuit
Members
Forum Posts: 731
Member Since:
February 5, 2015
sp_UserOfflineSmall Offline
1
July 21, 2019 - 9:56 am
sp_Permalink sp_Print sp_EditHistory
0

So time for some more Riceman bullshit…

For a long time I have been interested as to why they say people good at poker make good traders on the stock markets, because it is a similar skill set. I have very limited experience with stock trading, but I have come up with a theory which might explain the link between the two.

Disclaimer 1: this might be a very obvious thought, and totally unoriginal. Disclaimer 2: Quite possibly, it really is just a load of horse shit…nevertheless, here goes:

NLHE, or any poker variant, is a closed market. It is a market where players come together to trade with one another. What they are trading is probabilities, and odds. In effect, therefore, each player is setting him or herself up as a bookie. I set myself up, with my avatar of Cindy Lauper in 80’s pose, as a business, as a bookie. My job is then to take odds, and give odds to other bookies, on the probability of certain outcomes occurring. The reason great players are so much better than others is simply because they know the parameters of this market better than others. The better you know the probabilities of certain outcomes, the better placed you are to set a correct price. Crap players don’t understand the market at all. They take ridiculous odds from better players, which are mathematical mistakes. They have no clue about the likelihood of different outcomes, so the prices they offer are ridiculous. In effect, they are a crap bookie business. The good players are the good bookies, and they are successful within the market place.

So there it is…either another piece of Riceman genius, or another theory of the Riceman to rank alongside the GTO Bet Sizing Dice TM from a few years back…in other words, a load of old bollocks, and a waste of valuable TPE web space.

Be interested in anyone’s thoughts, either way!

The Riceman
London UK
Hitting The Circuit
Members
Forum Posts: 731
Member Since:
February 5, 2015
sp_UserOfflineSmall Offline
2
July 21, 2019 - 5:02 pm
sp_Permalink sp_Print
0

I have just read this through after coming back from the cinema watching Spiderman with my kids and half of west London’s too, and with a sober mind I conclude, I am indeed a genius. Like Mike Caro, one seriously underrated dude.

Forum Timezone: America/New_York

Most Users Ever Online: 2780

Currently Online:
37 Guest(s)

Currently Browsing this Page:
1 Guest(s)

Top Posters:

bennymacca: 2616

Foucault: 2067

folding_aces_pre_yo: 1133

praetor: 1033

theginger45: 924

P-aire 146: 832

Turbulence: 768

The Riceman: 731

duggs: 591

florianm1: 588

Newest Members:

Tillery999

sdmathis89

ne0x00

adrianvaida2525

Anteeater

Laggro

Forum Stats:

Groups: 4

Forums: 24

Topics: 12705

Posts: 75003

 

Member Stats:

Guest Posters: 1063

Members: 12008

Moderators: 2

Admins: 5

Administrators: RonFezBuddy, Killingbird, Tournament Poker Edge Staff, ttwist, Carlos

Moderators: sitelock, sitelock_1