July 24, 2018
This is from a friend’s cash game. We defend a 3x opening from the hijack (5 handed game) with K3cc. I would not defend here at cash, with no antes, and very deep stacks. I don’t think this hand realizes enough of its equity to call (I think it was a time game based on friends description). Stack to pot is 4000-70, or almost 60.
We get a very favorable flop of 8c7d5c. We check (one could build a donk range on this flop, but it won’t gain a lot of ev, and isn’t especially easy to balance). Villain bets 40% pot. Obviously we aren’t folding, the question is whether to call or check raise.
PIO plays every flush draw as a mix. It’s most common check raise is A6cc for the NFD and straight draw. The hands it least prefers to check raise are AJcc, and K3cc, our hand (I didn’t give hero K2cc). Hero did check raise and went fairly big, 130/30.
The turn was a good card for our range though not our hand; an off suit 4. Best card for our range is an offsuit 9. I guess we have more JT than Villain, but I’d have thought that a 4 was better, since 6x is the effective nuts. An off suit 4 is the card we are supposed to barrel the most, and hero did, going for an overbet of the pot, 120%.
The river was an offsuit Q, and once again PIO and hero prefer to bet. PIO prefers a 1/2 size bet, hero kept polarizing with an overbet. Villain tank called 55.
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