TPE Pro
August 25, 2012
Your bet sizing should get larger according to how polarized your range is. When players size down because they want to value-bet thinner, they’re betting a less polarized range, so they’re betting smaller to compensate.
This is because a less polarized range has some value bets that might lose when called, so it can’t afford to value-bet so big that a smaller number of worse hands will call.
A more polarized range has no reason to bet small, because it contains mostly hands that either always win when called, or always lose, and thus it is incentivized to bet large with the intent of maximizing both value and fold equity.
TPE Pro
December 6, 2012
kntz said
theginger45 said
Your bet sizing should get larger according to how polarized your range is. When players size down because they want to value-bet thinner, they’re betting a less polarized range, so they’re betting smaller to compensate.This is because a less polarized range has some value bets that might lose when called, so it can’t afford to value-bet so big that a smaller number of worse hands will call.
A more polarized range has no reason to bet small, because it contains mostly hands that either always win when called, or always lose, and thus it is incentivized to bet large with the intent of maximizing both value and fold equity.
Thanks for the reply.
What if the range is very polarized, but very heavily weighted towards monster hands, with barely any air? Would it still make sense to bet big?
Very good question. At equilibrium, the answer is no. If, however, your opponents are too loose and prone to look up river bets (as many are), then it could still make sense to size, if not huge, at least bigger than would be GTO. However ending up with a range that looks like this suggests either that you are in a very rare part of the game tree (one specific river that completes all draws or something) or that you made a mistake on an earlier street. If you are running out of hands to bluff with, then there’s a good chance that you could be profitably carrying forward some weaker hands from an earlier street.
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