January 10, 2017
This is a hand my friend was involved in and we had some disagreement about the turn:
Live $5/$10 game – $1K effective
Good reg opens to $35 from mp, hero calls w/A9dd, button flats as do sb & bb.
Flop is As9s2d. Sb x, bb x, mp x, hero 90, button calls everyone else folds
Turn Kd. Hero 250, button jams
Do we ever fold here. I think the hand is now essentially a bluff catcher, but we do have the nut draw in the mix too.
February 8, 2017
Correct me if I’m mistaken, but you’re asking whether you should call $625 to win a pot of $2105. You need 29.6% equity. The only way you don’t have at least 11 guaranteed outs is if the villain has AA, and you’re still drawing live in that scenario. I can’t remember the last time I’ve ever folded two pair + flush draw, and you have the nut draw to boot.
I’m beating villain into the pot.
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