November 6, 2018
110BB effective, anonymous zoom 6 max online NL25
I RFI JAo from EP 3BB, CO and BU call.
(10.5BB) Flop 238 rainbow
I CBet 3BB, CO call, BU fold
Pretty sure it is bad cbet, in MW pot especially. Somebody raise me and I need to fold when having a ton of equity. Also increasing the pot with not great hand. I might get CO to fold and be in HU with BU which probably has some value… But probably need to check 100%? and fold some/call some. If CBet, should be bigger size?
(16.5BB) Turn 2 (no FD) check, check
Not sure what that means that CO just called. He might fold some weakest overcards (which is bad for me), he might raise some draws (which is also bad for me), but not all. My cbet made his range stronger, but because of small size his range still has a ton (~75%) of weak hands.
Do not see reason to cbet turn, might call if he bet.
(16.5BB) River A, I bet 6BB he raise 23.5BB
He checked turn. I would expect him to bet turn after my raise pretty often. All top pair, overpair, non A hands will bet (?). So on the river he has Ax (which I mostly dominate) and some slowplayed monsters like FH, or 2s, turned sets. 7 combinations of monsters, 9 combinations of AQo so 16 I am loosing to. 3 of each A6s, A7s, A9s. 9 of A9o, ATo. 27 I beat. 9 of AJo I chope.
Loosing to – 16.
Win from – 27.
Chope with – 9.
So I valuebet. He raise. He probably will be happy to call with any Ax and I do not beat anything else. Easy fold?
Unfortunately I am unable to make all this analysis in my mind in 15 seconds, so I called. And lost to AA.
Any way, does my analysis above makes sense?
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