$215 OPS Hand History Review with Daryl Jace (Part 1)
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MORE IN THIS SERIES : Part 2 | Part 3 | Part 4 | Part 5 | Part 7 | Part 6 | Part 8
Slopez8922
On the first AA hand do you think there would be any merit to bet-folding the river? My thought process is the following:
1) Villain seems to be somewhat of a station and slightly weaker (Don’t know if there was any previous history there or not)
2) Hero’s hand is slightly under-repped
3) What hands would the villain play as is to the river?
Based on how it was played I’d include the following:
Likely river check-raise range that beats Hero: KJ
Likely river check-call range that beats Hero: Q9dd, Q8dd, T9dd, T8dd, T7dd, 98dd, 97dd, 87dd
Unlikely range that would check-call or check-raise that beats Hero: Axdd (I’d argue this player type would lead river), 44 99 or JJ (would probably have heard about it on the turn), odd baby flushes that still chose to lead flop, QTdd. None of these hands make too much sense to me unless they were just an uber station and never check raised with strength.
Range held that Hero beats: QQ, AJ, QJ, JT, J9
Something I’ve been doing at the lower stakes with decent success is betting these types of spots because I’ve noticed that specific player type thinks I’m always full of it. I’ve even seen calls with the equivalent of a 9 in that spot cuz the river bet just seems so polarized. I suppose my question is would bet (probably) folding that specific spot be lighting chips on fire? (Admittedly I’m probably using it too often since I’m a donk who enjoys lighting chips on fire). After thinking about it I still like it cuz I don’t think Hero is ever getting bluff raised and Villain only has one nutted hand in their range (in my opinion). Essentially the question becomes are we getting enough calls from worse to justify value powning ourself when they have a medium flush? Would they even call with just a J? How often would they need to call to make it more +EV than checking? And would having the Ad in our hand make the difference in betting if the first situation didn’t justify it?
Either way good vid and I look forward to watching the rest of the series.
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sry for taking so long. Ill get to this asap
Dreamstrike13
Any chance you could use a program like Combinator or flopzilla when you discuss ranges, would be good to have a visual representation to go along. cheers
JD
I’m not a fan of the min raise iso or the min 3b iso. When that deep I don’t think it accomplishes much. I think most players are going to view it as a raise and a flat and play accordingly, even though it reopens the betting for the initial raiser. If stacks were 50bb or less then other players need to be much more concern about what the original raiser is going to do.
StrugLife
benefit of min 3bet iso strategy;
1) Take control of betting
2) Throw your opponent off
3) Rep strong value hand
Theres more but those are the first three that come to mind, however when i see a donk do this, and i have a stronger hand myself i make a masive 4 bet because i know they do this with hand that flop well,m and donks hate folding